Monsoon rains this year are probably going to be above average for India. Rainfall that is above average will benefit India, whose agricultural output greatly depends on the summer monsoon, by promoting agriculture and overall economic growth. According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), June rainfall in India is expected to be normal, ranging from 92-108.8% of the long-term average of 166.9 mm. With a few exceptions in the southern section of the Indian peninsula, June maximum temperatures are predicted to be normal to above average.

IMD predicts above-average monsoon rainfall in central and south peninsular India, normal rainfall in the northwest, and below-normal rainfall in northeastern India.

The meteorological service also mentioned that owing to a new western disturbance, the northwest and central regions of the nation should see some respite from the intense heat after three days.

After three days, expect relief from the heat wave in the country’s northwest and centre due to a western disturbance and moisture intrusion from the Arabian Sea. There may be some thunderstorm activity in the western Himalayan region and rain in northwest India.

The IMD ascribed the second half of May’s heat wave in northwest India and some areas of the central region to an anti-cyclonic circulation over southwest Rajasthan and neighbouring Gujarat, greater dry and warm winds, and a lack of rainfall.